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Red97
508630.0
483524.7
587830.9
Blue88
609729.9
341430.7
9424.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7174506080901009788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.7
24.826.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End6.3
red by 0.2
3414
#19
30.71.2
25.827.0
Auto13.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
Second
30.01.7
23.725.4
Auto9.2
Teleop16.7
End4.2
red by 0.1
29.91.2
24.926.1
Auto11.6
Teleop13.4
End4.9
Third
4835
#11
24.71.9
22.324.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End3.9
blue by 0.1
94
#28
24.81.3
19.420.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed