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Red76
498830.9
598222.5
171123.4
Blue67
552525.1
560328.5
612220.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676650607080907667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.2
23.223.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End5.5
red by 2.5
5603
#17
28.50.4
23.123.5
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End4.4
Second
1711
#22
23.40.2
23.523.7
Auto10.0
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 1.7
5525
#15
25.10.4
21.822.2
Auto9.9
Teleop10.6
End4.6
Third
5982
#35
22.50.2
21.521.7
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End3.7
red by 2.4
6122
#37
20.10.4
16.116.6
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed