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Red59
511025.8
550419.4
612823.3
Blue85
607529.7
498830.9
612220.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687140506080901005985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#32
25.80.5
24.123.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End4.9
blue by 5.1
30.90.7
24.925.7
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End5.5
Second
6128
#30
23.30.5
24.824.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End4.1
blue by 6.4
29.70.7
26.226.9
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End7.0
Third
5504
#40
19.40.5
17.717.1
Auto8.2
Teleop7.6
End3.5
blue by 0.7
6122
#37
20.10.7
17.718.4
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsMissed89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed