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Red64
607721.8
607417.8
376731.2
Blue77
550541.7
570921.7
483524.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68810501001506477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#18
31.20.3
31.030.7
Auto5.3
Teleop21.4
End4.5
blue by 10.4
5505
#12
41.70.0
33.333.4
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
Second
6077
#36
21.80.3
23.423.1
Auto8.4
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 2.9
4835
#11
24.70.0
22.222.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End3.9
Third
6074
#38
17.80.3
13.913.6
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End4.1
blue by 4.0
5709
#29
21.70.0
21.121.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed