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Red98
570921.7
368845.6
607529.7
Blue65
552525.1
598222.5
224621.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101632040801201401609865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.4
42.242.6
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End5.5
red by 20.5
5525
#15
25.10.1
25.024.9
Auto9.9
Teleop10.6
End4.6
Second
29.70.4
27.728.1
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End7.0
red by 7.3
5982
#35
22.50.1
23.323.2
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Third
5709
#29
21.70.4
22.623.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End2.1
blue by 0.1
2246
#20
21.90.1
18.318.2
Auto9.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed