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Red75
612220.1
507227.2
603325.3
Blue100
550541.7
341430.7
525720.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698220406010012014016075100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#14
27.20.4
25.025.5
Auto11.1
Teleop11.6
End4.6
blue by 14.5
5505
#12
41.71.5
36.337.7
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
Second
6033
#33
25.30.4
26.126.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.3
End4.0
blue by 5.4
3414
#19
30.71.5
27.028.5
Auto13.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
Third
6122
#37
20.10.4
17.518.0
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Level
5257
#23
20.11.5
14.716.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsMissed73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed