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Red98
224621.9
376731.2
521323.5
Blue92
587830.9
600518.8
603325.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7577506070901001101209892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#18
31.21.3
31.632.9
Auto5.3
Teleop21.4
End4.5
red by 0.3
30.90.8
29.730.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End6.3
Second
5213
#25
23.51.3
22.423.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 1.9
6033
#33
25.30.8
26.627.4
Auto7.0
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Third
2246
#20
21.91.3
19.220.5
Auto9.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
red by 3.1
6005
#24
18.80.8
18.519.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned