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Red84
570921.7
523037.9
598222.5
Blue90
525720.1
498830.9
611220.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93622040801001201408490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.4
39.138.7
Auto8.7
Teleop25.2
End4.0
red by 7.0
30.91.7
29.331.0
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End5.5
Second
5982
#35
22.50.4
23.222.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End3.7
red by 2.4
5257
#23
20.11.7
18.019.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Third
5709
#29
21.70.4
23.322.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 1.7
6112
#34
20.11.7
17.118.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsMissed55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed