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Red140
7439.1
368845.6
612823.3
Blue116
341430.7
508630.0
560328.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610650150200140116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.2
45.345.4
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End5.5
red by 14.9
3414
#19
30.70.2
30.630.8
Auto13.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
Second
74
#3
39.10.2
38.738.9
Auto11.7
Teleop15.9
End11.5
red by 9.1
30.00.2
30.030.1
Auto9.2
Teleop16.7
End4.2
Third
6128
#30
23.30.2
22.923.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End4.1
blue by 5.2
5603
#17
28.50.2
28.428.6
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End4.4