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Red153
7439.1
368845.6
612823.3
Blue104
341430.7
508630.0
560328.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610750150200250153104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.0
45.445.4
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End5.5
red by 14.9
3414
#19
30.70.1
30.830.7
Auto13.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
Second
74
#3
39.10.0
38.938.9
Auto11.7
Teleop15.9
End11.5
red by 9.1
30.00.1
30.130.0
Auto9.2
Teleop16.7
End4.2
Third
6128
#30
23.30.0
23.123.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End4.1
blue by 5.2
5603
#17
28.50.1
28.628.5
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End4.4