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Red40
473713.2
571118.7
125024.5
Blue62
565016.3
504826.0
526319.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50480204060801004062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#19
24.51.4
21.319.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End3.6
blue by 1.5
5048
#15
26.00.6
23.223.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End2.2
Second
5711
#35
18.71.4
15.514.1
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End2.2
blue by 0.8
5263
#20
19.50.6
10.811.4
Auto3.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Third
4737
#33
13.21.4
11.19.6
Auto1.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
blue by 3.1
5650
#21
16.30.6
12.813.4
Auto0.8
Teleop12.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsMissed25%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed