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Red65
366726.4
543619.1
207528.3
Blue41
31313.3
400325.2
528222.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544810203040607080906541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.0
21.722.7
Auto5.8
Teleop17.4
End5.0
red by 3.1
4003
#29
25.20.7
22.822.1
Auto8.6
Teleop11.2
End5.4
Second
26.41.0
15.716.7
Auto6.5
Teleop15.6
End4.3
red by 4.2
5282
#16
22.20.7
15.014.2
Auto4.7
Teleop14.0
End3.6
Third
5436
#22
19.11.0
13.914.8
Auto1.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
red by 5.8
313
#31
13.30.7
9.89.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsEarned23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed