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Red63
171829.1
477923.6
473713.2
Blue59
571118.7
509023.4
30819.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54592040801006359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.0
24.625.6
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End4.5
red by 5.7
5090
#24
23.40.2
22.823.0
Auto1.1
Teleop18.2
End4.1
Second
4779
#25
23.61.0
17.318.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0
red by 4.0
308
#13
19.50.2
19.119.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.1
End2.2
Third
4737
#33
13.21.0
11.812.8
Auto1.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
blue by 5.5
5711
#35
18.70.2
15.015.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed