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Red87
102334.4
213732.7
615212.1
Blue73
207528.3
400325.2
611722.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8559401001208773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.4
34.835.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End6.4
red by 6.1
28.31.3
21.923.1
Auto5.8
Teleop17.4
End5.0
Second
32.70.4
28.929.3
Auto10.7
Teleop17.8
End4.2
red by 7.5
4003
#29
25.21.3
23.224.5
Auto8.6
Teleop11.2
End5.4
Third
6152
#37
12.10.4
14.815.2
Auto1.5
Teleop8.6
End2.0
blue by 10.5
6117
#27
22.51.3
16.517.8
Auto0.9
Teleop16.6
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed