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Red71
5126.5
30819.5
477923.6
Blue67
118922.0
528222.2
481022.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70683040506080901001107167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#10
26.50.2
26.526.7
Auto6.4
Teleop15.7
End4.5
red by 4.0
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto2.3
Teleop14.5
End5.8
Second
4779
#25
23.60.2
22.522.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0
red by 1.3
5282
#16
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto4.7
Teleop14.0
End3.6
Third
308
#13
19.50.2
19.019.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.1
End2.2
blue by 2.5
1189
#34
22.00.0
21.721.7
Auto2.4
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed