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Red52
506622.0
473713.2
526319.5
Blue59
566222.9
377323.7
57089.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57552040801005259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#23
22.00.3
22.322.0
Auto6.9
Teleop11.6
End3.5
blue by 1.7
3773
#14
23.70.4
22.923.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Second
5263
#20
19.50.3
19.719.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
blue by 3.4
5662
#11
22.90.4
22.122.4
Auto2.2
Teleop16.0
End4.7
Third
4737
#33
13.20.3
13.513.2
Auto1.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
red by 3.8
5708
#30
9.40.4
9.19.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed