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Red153
544832.5
191843.3
21624.1
Blue116
7430.8
240527.5
357232.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124106406080140160180153116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.2
42.743.0
Auto12.6
Teleop24.5
End6.2
red by 11.2
3572
#18
32.20.1
32.232.3
Auto8.2
Teleop21.1
End2.9
Second
32.50.2
31.832.1
Auto12.0
Teleop14.2
End6.3
red by 1.6
74
#22
30.80.1
30.830.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End8.4
Third
216
#17
24.10.2
23.423.7
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.2
blue by 3.4
2405
#10
27.50.1
27.527.6
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End4.5