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Red115
544832.5
191843.3
21624.1
Blue106
7430.8
240527.5
357232.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410650150200115106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.1
43.042.9
Auto12.6
Teleop24.5
End6.2
red by 11.2
3572
#18
32.20.1
32.332.2
Auto8.2
Teleop21.1
End2.9
Second
32.50.1
32.132.0
Auto12.0
Teleop14.2
End6.3
red by 1.6
74
#22
30.80.1
30.930.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End8.4
Third
216
#17
24.10.1
23.723.6
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.2
blue by 3.4
2405
#10
27.50.1
27.627.5
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End4.5