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Red83
240527.5
354641.4
125420.4
Blue84
24419.6
524628.4
547031.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8867204060801001201408384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.1
38.638.7
Auto13.3
Teleop21.6
End6.5
red by 10.1
5470
#13
31.31.2
25.026.2
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End7.2
Second
2405
#10
27.50.1
25.825.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End4.5
blue by 0.9
5246
#19
28.41.2
20.922.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Third
1254
#24
20.40.1
17.717.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
red by 0.7
244
#28
19.60.7
22.423.1
Auto8.3
Teleop9.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed