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Red104
400437.3
544832.5
611421.4
Blue83
150633.9
360326.9
433722.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7778406010012010483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.9
30.432.3
Auto5.5
Teleop21.6
End10.2
red by 3.5
33.90.5
28.829.3
Auto13.0
Teleop16.5
End4.3
Second
32.51.9
27.529.5
Auto12.0
Teleop14.2
End6.3
red by 5.5
3603
#25
26.90.5
26.326.8
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End4.8
Third
6114
#31
21.43.2
17.020.2
Auto9.4
Teleop10.2
End1.9
blue by 1.5
4337
#37
22.90.8
20.721.5
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed