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Red69
191843.3
610019.0
609423.4
Blue92
205439.9
7430.8
592717.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8689506070801001101201306992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.0
43.943.0
Auto12.6
Teleop24.5
End6.2
red by 3.5
39.90.7
40.040.7
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Second
6094
#32
23.41.0
20.819.8
Auto6.4
Teleop13.3
End3.7
blue by 7.4
74
#22
30.80.4
30.130.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End8.4
Third
6100
#26
19.01.6
18.917.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End3.0
red by 1.1
5927
#36
17.90.7
15.816.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed