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Red45
34589.8
517318.1
495624.7
Blue97
10742.0
28825.9
125420.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638120401001204597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#35
24.71.3
27.426.1
Auto6.6
Teleop13.7
End4.4
blue by 17.3
107
#3
42.01.4
34.135.5
Auto11.9
Teleop24.7
End5.3
Second
5173
#38
18.11.3
20.018.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 7.8
288
#30
25.91.4
24.525.9
Auto7.1
Teleop14.6
End4.2
Third
3458
#40
9.82.1
17.014.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.8
End-0.5
blue by 10.6
1254
#24
20.41.4
17.719.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed