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Red114
567532.8
191843.3
612825.2
Blue112
598037.9
400334.9
205439.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961176080140160114112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.2
41.042.2
Auto12.6
Teleop24.5
End6.2
red by 3.5
39.90.3
38.838.5
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Second
5675
#14
32.81.2
31.532.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.0
End4.4
blue by 5.1
37.90.2
37.537.2
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End9.3
Third
6128
#27
25.21.5
23.525.0
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End4.2
blue by 9.7
4003
#12
34.90.2
34.133.9
Auto10.0
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed