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Red82
517318.1
544832.5
357232.2
Blue81
525515.1
547031.3
7430.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847740601001201408281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.1
31.331.4
Auto12.0
Teleop14.2
End6.3
red by 1.2
5470
#13
31.30.4
30.931.3
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End7.2
Second
3572
#18
32.20.1
31.932.0
Auto8.2
Teleop21.1
End2.9
red by 1.4
74
#22
30.80.3
30.931.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End8.4
Third
5173
#38
18.10.1
17.417.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3
red by 3.0
5255
#41
15.10.3
14.014.4
Auto1.5
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed