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Red135
517241.3
298732.0
326725.6
Blue165
250235.8
288340.5
523226.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911890100110130140150160135165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#16
41.30.2
41.141.3
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End8.0
red by 0.8
40.51.0
39.640.5
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Second
32.00.2
31.832.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.4
End5.5
blue by 3.8
2502
#31
35.81.0
34.835.8
Auto8.0
Teleop24.8
End3.0
Third
3267
#11
25.60.2
25.325.6
Auto6.6
Teleop15.3
End3.7
blue by 1.3
5232
#17
26.91.0
26.026.9
Auto8.1
Teleop16.0
End2.8