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Final 12016 Northern Lights Regional
Red122
517241.3
298732.0
326725.6
Blue137
250235.8
288340.5
523226.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911790100110130140150122137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#16
41.30.0
41.2→41.1
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End8.0
red by 0.8
2883
#3
40.50.6
39.0→39.6
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Second
2987
#1
32.00.0
31.8→31.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.4
End5.5
blue by 3.8
2502
#31
35.80.6
34.2→34.8
Auto8.0
Teleop24.8
End3.0
Third
3267
#11
25.60.0
25.4→25.3
Auto6.6
Teleop15.3
End3.7
blue by 1.3
5232
#17
26.90.6
25.4→26.0
Auto8.1
Teleop16.0
End2.8