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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Northern Lights Regional
Red145
250235.8
288340.5
523226.9
Blue112
462423.6
616625.4
313228.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115906080100140160180145112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#3
40.50.7
37.0→37.7
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 12.1
3132
#15
28.40.2
28.2→28.4
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End4.6
Second
2502
#31
35.80.7
32.2→32.9
Auto8.0
Teleop24.8
End3.0
red by 10.4
6166
#7
25.40.2
25.2→25.4
Auto9.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
Third
5232
#17
26.90.7
23.4→24.1
Auto8.1
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 3.3
4624
#14
23.60.2
23.5→23.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1