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Red170
250235.8
288340.5
523226.9
Blue95
462423.6
616625.4
313228.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11191608010012014016017095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.51.2
35.837.0
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 12.1
3132
#15
28.40.1
28.328.2
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End4.6
Second
2502
#31
35.81.2
31.132.2
Auto8.0
Teleop24.8
End3.0
red by 10.4
25.40.1
25.325.2
Auto9.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
Third
5232
#17
26.91.2
22.223.4
Auto8.1
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 3.3
4624
#14
23.60.1
23.523.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1