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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Northern Lights Regional
Red115
517241.3
298732.0
326725.6
Blue94
592921.2
93026.8
485926.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11590608010014016011594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#16
41.30.1
39.1→39.0
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End8.0
red by 14.5
4859
#28
26.90.0
26.9→26.9
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Second
2987
#1
32.00.1
29.9→29.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.4
End5.5
red by 5.2
930
#9
26.80.0
26.8→26.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.8
End5.9
Third
3267
#11
25.60.1
23.4→23.4
Auto6.6
Teleop15.3
End3.7
red by 4.4
5929
#20
21.20.0
21.2→21.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End1.9