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Semifinal 1-12016 Northern Lights Regional
Red185
517241.3
298732.0
326725.6
Blue168
87641.8
308228.1
304228.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012050100150200185168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#16
41.31.0
39.0→39.9
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End8.0
blue by 0.4
876
#5
41.80.9
41.0→41.9
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End6.9
Second
2987
#1
32.00.9
29.8→30.7
Auto9.1
Teleop17.4
End5.5
red by 3.4
3042
#19
28.60.9
27.9→28.8
Auto6.9
Teleop16.4
End5.3
Third
3267
#11
25.60.9
23.4→24.3
Auto6.6
Teleop15.3
End3.7
blue by 2.6
3082
#4
28.10.9
27.4→28.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End5.2