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Red42
286117.2
59998.5
572019.0
Blue122
517241.3
462423.6
331331.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4671020608010012014042122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5720
#47
19.02.4
19.717.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.0
blue by 22.3
5172
#16
41.33.5
26.329.8
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End8.0
Second
2861
#35
17.22.4
13.411.0
Auto6.8
Teleop7.8
End2.5
blue by 14.5
3313
#13
31.73.5
20.123.6
Auto6.6
Teleop19.4
End5.7
Third
5999
#52
8.52.4
15.212.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.3
blue by 15.1
4624
#14
23.63.5
19.122.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed