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Red60
249120.1
305428.1
417417.2
Blue37
462320.9
372322.3
336715.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505402040801001201401606037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.11.2
17.418.5
Auto10.2
Teleop11.5
End6.4
red by 5.8
3723
#33
22.31.7
17.816.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End4.2
Second
2491
#34
20.11.2
15.616.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.7
blue by 0.8
4623
#27
20.91.7
20.719.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End6.5
Third
4174
#18
17.21.2
16.517.7
Auto1.7
Teleop12.0
End3.5
red by 1.8
3367
#50
15.41.7
13.812.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed