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Red47
295712.9
436014.6
375420.7
Blue56
286117.2
604717.4
546420.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435402060801004756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3754
#21
20.70.4
19.820.1
Auto11.4
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 0.4
5464
#23
20.30.5
21.722.2
Auto6.1
Teleop11.6
End2.5
Second
4360
#59
14.60.4
16.116.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 2.8
6047
#39
17.40.5
16.316.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Third
2957
#55
12.90.4
7.98.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 4.3
2861
#35
17.20.5
13.313.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed13%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed