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Red85
514828.2
372322.3
565823.9
Blue74
485926.9
478619.3
613215.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6463505560707580858574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5148
#29
28.22.0
26.028.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End4.3
red by 1.4
4859
#28
26.91.4
23.324.7
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Second
5658
#25
23.92.0
19.721.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.9
End4.5
red by 4.6
4786
#36
19.31.4
20.822.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End2.5
Third
3723
#33
22.32.0
16.718.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End4.2
red by 6.4
6132
#54
15.91.4
17.518.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed