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Red47
329717.7
336715.4
375420.7
Blue74
476220.8
572019.0
313228.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55662040801001204774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3754
#21
20.70.9
20.119.3
Auto11.4
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 7.7
3132
#15
28.41.3
28.429.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End4.6
Second
3297
#43
17.70.9
18.217.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 3.1
4762
#32
20.81.3
17.919.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.0
End3.9
Third
3367
#50
15.40.9
16.515.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End4.1
blue by 3.6
5720
#47
19.01.3
16.017.3
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed35%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed