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Red40
523226.9
546420.3
613215.9
Blue55
418216.5
59998.5
462423.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6557203040507080901004055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#17
26.93.0
21.218.1
Auto8.1
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 3.3
4624
#14
23.61.9
26.324.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Second
5464
#23
20.33.0
22.219.2
Auto6.1
Teleop11.6
End2.5
red by 3.8
4182
#22
16.51.9
18.716.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End1.2
Third
6132
#54
15.93.0
18.915.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.7
red by 7.3
5999
#52
8.51.9
11.89.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed