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Red86
304228.6
565823.9
604717.4
Blue85
514828.2
251232.7
422619.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6381401001201408685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3042
#19
28.61.9
25.127.0
Auto6.9
Teleop16.4
End5.3
blue by 4.0
2512
#10
32.70.5
30.330.8
Auto10.7
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Second
5658
#25
23.91.9
21.623.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.9
End4.5
blue by 4.3
5148
#29
28.20.5
28.028.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End4.3
Third
6047
#39
17.41.9
16.818.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 2.3
4226
#37
19.70.5
17.518.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed