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Red72
87716.4
288340.5
295712.9
Blue62
329816.7
250235.8
614713.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536302040801001207262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.52.1
32.334.5
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 4.8
2502
#31
35.80.9
30.830.0
Auto8.0
Teleop24.8
End3.0
Second
877
#44
16.42.1
12.114.3
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
blue by 0.3
3298
#48
16.70.9
16.615.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Third
2957
#55
12.92.1
8.310.4
Auto2.5
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 0.1
6147
#38
13.00.9
12.211.4
Auto1.9
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed