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Red105
251232.7
250130.7
478619.3
Blue170
250235.8
288340.5
523226.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98118406080140160180200105170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#10
32.70.1
32.632.7
Auto10.7
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 7.9
40.50.9
38.039.0
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Second
30.70.1
30.630.7
Auto7.4
Teleop17.6
End5.7
blue by 5.1
2502
#31
35.80.9
33.334.2
Auto8.0
Teleop24.8
End3.0
Third
4786
#36
19.30.1
19.219.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End2.5
blue by 7.6
5232
#17
26.90.9
24.425.4
Auto8.1
Teleop16.0
End2.8