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Red79
251232.7
250130.7
478619.3
Blue97
331331.7
465627.4
87716.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028960801201407997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#10
32.70.1
32.132.1
Auto10.7
Teleop17.4
End4.5
red by 1.0
3313
#13
31.70.1
31.031.1
Auto6.6
Teleop19.4
End5.7
Second
30.70.1
30.230.1
Auto7.4
Teleop17.6
End5.7
red by 3.3
27.40.1
26.726.8
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Third
4786
#36
19.30.1
18.718.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End2.5
red by 2.9
877
#44
16.40.1
15.715.8
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0