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Red137
251232.7
250130.7
478619.3
Blue100
331331.7
465627.4
87716.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101896080120140137100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#10
32.70.4
32.132.4
Auto10.7
Teleop17.4
End4.5
red by 1.0
3313
#13
31.70.2
31.131.3
Auto6.6
Teleop19.4
End5.7
Second
30.70.4
30.130.5
Auto7.4
Teleop17.6
End5.7
red by 3.3
27.40.2
26.827.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Third
4786
#36
19.30.4
18.719.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End2.5
red by 2.9
877
#44
16.40.2
15.816.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0