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Red163
35947.4
400933.9
617519.5
Blue84
205236.4
569028.3
222721.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124103608014016016384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
47.40.4
47.147.5
Auto12.3
Teleop28.3
End6.8
red by 11.0
2052
#15
36.40.0
36.236.2
Auto7.3
Teleop23.8
End5.3
Second
33.90.4
33.534.0
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End5.6
red by 5.6
28.30.0
28.128.0
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End4.0
Third
6175
#39
19.50.4
19.119.6
Auto7.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
blue by 1.9
2227
#51
21.30.0
21.221.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.4