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Quarterfinal 4-32016 Lake Superior Regional
Red77
453924.4
327629.0
591319.1
Blue114
282324.7
253821.5
453124.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96885060708010011012013077114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#4
29.00.6
29.6→29.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End5.4
red by 4.3
2823
#16
24.70.6
24.7→25.3
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Second
4539
#8
24.40.6
25.0→24.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 0.1
4531
#47
24.50.6
24.5→25.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End5.0
Third
5913
#21
19.10.6
19.7→19.1
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End2.5
blue by 2.3
2538
#7
21.50.6
21.5→22.1
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4