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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Lake Superior Regional
Red107
453924.4
327629.0
591319.1
Blue102
282324.7
253821.5
453124.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948750607080100110120130107102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#4
29.00.5
29.1→29.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End5.4
red by 4.3
2823
#16
24.70.2
24.5→24.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Second
4539
#8
24.40.5
24.5→25.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 0.1
4531
#47
24.50.2
24.3→24.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End5.0
Third
5913
#21
19.10.5
19.2→19.7
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End2.5
blue by 2.3
2538
#7
21.50.2
21.3→21.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4