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Red115
205236.4
569028.3
222721.3
Blue98
310230.5
252619.7
460722.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102836012014011598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#15
36.40.5
34.134.6
Auto7.3
Teleop23.8
End5.3
red by 5.9
3102
#17
30.50.2
29.930.1
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End4.9
Second
28.30.5
26.026.5
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End4.0
red by 5.9
4607
#48
22.40.2
21.721.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.5
End6.6
Third
2227
#51
21.30.5
19.019.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.4
red by 1.6
19.70.2
19.019.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1