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Semifinal 2-32016 Lake Superior Regional
Red122
205236.4
569028.3
222721.3
Blue77
282324.7
253821.5
453124.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078740608010012014012277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#15
36.40.6
35.7→36.2
Auto7.3
Teleop23.8
End5.3
red by 11.7
2823
#16
24.70.5
25.2→24.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Second
5690
#3
28.30.6
27.5→28.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End4.0
red by 3.8
4531
#47
24.50.5
25.0→24.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End5.0
Third
2227
#51
21.30.6
20.6→21.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 0.1
2538
#7
21.50.5
22.0→21.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4