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Red131
205236.4
569028.3
222721.3
Blue42
282324.7
253821.5
453124.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049240608012014013142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#15
36.40.6
35.035.7
Auto7.3
Teleop23.8
End5.3
red by 11.7
2823
#16
24.71.1
26.225.2
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Second
28.30.6
26.927.5
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End4.0
red by 3.8
4531
#47
24.51.1
26.025.0
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End5.0
Third
2227
#51
21.30.6
20.020.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 0.1
21.51.1
23.022.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4