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Red91
310230.5
329329.9
405426.5
Blue29
61768.1
375521.5
614616.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6241020801009129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#17
30.53.8
21.825.6
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End4.9
red by 9.1
3755
#45
21.51.6
16.414.8
Auto7.8
Teleop8.9
End4.8
Second
3293
#10
29.93.8
18.822.6
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End7.2
red by 13.8
6146
#40
16.11.6
15.213.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Third
4054
#12
26.53.8
16.420.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.8
End4.8
red by 18.4
6176
#62
8.11.6
11.49.9
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned20%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed