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Red63
617519.5
305624.8
529915.2
Blue85
469323.5
599820.4
250328.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48452030406070806385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3056
#19
24.81.9
18.120.0
Auto3.3
Teleop16.7
End4.7
blue by 3.8
2503
#11
28.64.6
17.221.8
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End6.5
Second
6175
#39
19.51.9
12.013.9
Auto7.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
blue by 4.0
4693
#28
23.54.6
12.617.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End4.7
Third
5299
#61
15.21.9
15.817.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.6
End2.5
blue by 5.2
5998
#35
20.44.6
14.018.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed19%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed