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Red59
591319.1
565320.0
474112.2
Blue47
247222.9
424419.7
401125.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525230406070805947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#42
20.01.0
17.218.2
Auto1.8
Teleop13.2
End5.0
blue by 5.2
4011
#37
25.21.6
17.916.3
Auto10.4
Teleop11.5
End3.3
Second
5913
#21
19.11.0
15.816.9
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End2.5
blue by 3.7
2472
#30
22.91.6
19.117.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Third
4741
#53
12.21.0
16.817.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.9
End-0.5
blue by 7.5
4244
#43
19.71.6
14.713.1
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsEarned29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed